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Thursday, August 18, 2011

Rates are stable, costs to borrow increase - how can this be?

Borrowing costs are higher this week.  When volatility picks up in the secondary mortgage market, the cost of doing business gets more expensive for lenders (hedging costs go up). The added costs are passed down to consumers. These costs are unavoidable.

Some lenders have been adjusting their loan pricing much higher because they can't take-in anymore business. They have pushed rates higher to encourage consumers to either wait it out or find another lender offering lower rates.

CURRENT MARKET as reported by Mortgage Rate Watch - The Best Execution 30-year fixed mortgagerate  has fallen to 4.125%.  Several lenders are willing to offer 4.000% and even 3.875% is possible for those interested in buying down the rate with points. 4.250% is widely-available. On FHA/VA 30 year fixed Best Execution is 4.000%, but 3.875 and even 3.750 are available with additional closing costs. 15 year fixed conventional loans are best priced at 3.625% but we're seeing aggressive quotes as low as 3.375%. Five year ARMs are still best priced at 3.25. ARMs seem to have bottomed out. 



Purchasing a home is currently cheaper than renting in 74% of major U.S. cities, according to Trulia's Summer 2011 Rent vs. Buy Index , which compares the cost of buying and renting a two-bedroom apartment, condominium or townhouse in the nation's 50 biggest cities.


30 year fixed - 4.125% + .0 points for rate
20 year fixed - 3.750% + 0 points for rate
15 year fixed - 3.375 % + 0 points for rate
10 year fixed - 3.250%  + .50 points credit for rate
5/1 ARM - 2.625% - 0 points for rate
7/1 ARM - 3.00%  + 0 points for rate

FHA/VA
30 year fixed - 4.00 % + .500 points for rate
5/1 ARM - 2.750 + 0 points for rate
7/1 ARM - 3.125 + .250 point for rate

Jumbo - over 625,500 - to 2,000,000 Fairfield County
30 year fixed - 4.625 % + 0  points  for rate
15 year fixed - 4.250% + 0 points for rate
5/1 ARM - 3.125 % + 0 points for rate
7/1 ARM - 3.625% + 0 points for rate
10/1 ARM - 4.250% + 0 points cost for rate







Friday, August 12, 2011

What do these numbers mean - #mortgage rates this week

It is easy to be confused, or misled, with seemingly simple numbers. For example, you are saving for your child's college costs, expected be about $100,000. You are 80 percent funded with $80,000 in your account. The next year, your investment account drops 25 percent in value, to $60,000. The year following year it bounces back 25 percent. Is the value back to where you started? No, because now you have $75,000 in your account. Assume college costs are rising 8 percent per year. How close to paying for college are you? The answer: 64 percent, because you have $75,000 toward $117,000 of costs. Even though your investments rose the same percentage as they fell, you're further from your goal than before. This is the same situation faced by pension funds. This is why, if you are locking in a loan, at these historically low rates, you MUST think of your long term and short term financial plans.



The FEDERAL RESERVE took the extraordinary step of announcing that it was minded to keep the federal funds rate close to zero for at least two more years. It also restated that it was "prepared to employ" a "range of policy tools" if the economy worsens, which some think might include a third round of bond-buying.

As stock markets tumbled, the price of GOLD surged to trade above $1,800 a Troy Ounce, reaching parity with platinum prices for the first time since the end of 2008.

AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL GROUP (AIG) lodged a lawsuit against BANK OF AMERICA, claiming BofA sold it low-risk securities backed by "defective" mortgages given to low-income borrowers. It is one of the biggest claims so far to originate from the practices that led to the financial crisis; suits against other big banks are expected to follow.

30 year fixed - 4.125% + .0 points for rate
20 year fixed - 3.750% + .250 points for rate
15 year fixed - 3.250% + .250 points for rate
10 year fixed - 3.250%  + 1.125 lender credit points for rate
5/1 ARM - 2.625% - 0 points for rate
7/1 ARM - 3.00%  + 0 points for rate

FHA/VA
30 year fixed - 3.874% + .500 points for rate
5/1 ARM - 2.750 + 0 points for rate
7/1 ARM - 3.125 + .250 point for rate

Jumbo - over 625,500 - to 2,000,000 Fairfield County
30 year fixed - 4.750 % + 0  points  for rate
15 year fixed - 4.250% + 0 points for rate
5/1 ARM - 3.125 % + 0 points for rate
7/1 ARM - 3.625% + 0 points for rate
10/1 ARM - 4.250% + 0 points cost for rate

Friday, August 5, 2011

#mortgage market update and rates this week

It would be hard to find another time frame of mortgage rate prices moving in a more volatile fashion than this week. In less than an hour on Friday morning, prices moved up 14 ticks to 2 day highs and then down 23 ticks to 2 day lows. On Friday morning stocks appear to be stalling and bouncing lower after failing to break 1220. Bonds like it. 10's are down to 2.462 now. Keep in mind that quoted levels in these updates continue to be moving targets.
U.S. job growth accelerated more than expected in July. This could ease fears the economy was sliding into a fresh recession. U.S. payrolls increased 117,000 above market expectations for an 85,000 gain. The unemployment rate dipped to 9.1 percent from 9.2 percent in June. The payrolls count for May and June was revised to show 56,000 more jobs added than previously reported The report was the first encouraging piece of economic data in some time. Economists see the odds of a recession as high as 40 percent. Top policy makers at the Federal Reserve will sift through the report when they meet on Tuesday but are not expected to announce any new measures to support the sputtering recovery. The U.S. central bank has cut interest rates to zero and spent $2.3 trillion on bonds. Policy makers have said they want to see how the economy fares before taking any further action.



The Best Execution conventional 30-year fixed mortgage rate has improved to 4.250%. Some lenders are even offering 4.00% but that quote carries with it additional closing costs. On FHA/VA 30 year fixed Best Execution is now 4.00% with some lenders willing to go as low as 3.875% (includes additional closing costs).  15 year fixed conventional loans are still best priced at 3.75% but we've seen very aggressive quotes at 3.625% too. Five year ARMs are still best priced at 3.25. ARMs and 15 year quotes seem to have bottomed out. 
It's important to point out an increased amount of variation in what individual lenders are quoting as their Best Execution rates.  This is a factor of price volatility in the secondary mortgage market. Unfortunately when volatility picks up in the secondary mortgage market, the cost of doing business gets more expensive for lenders (hedging costs go up). Those added costs are usually passed down to consumers via extra margin in rate sheets.


Reuters Reports - Wells Fargo & Co (WFC.N) plans to pay $590 million to settle a class action lawsuit. The 2009 class action case was filed in a federal court in New York City. Wachovia (now Wells Fargo) misrepresented its residential-mortgage holdings in offering documents during the lead-up to the financial crisis. The settlement is not expected to hurt Wells Fargo's financial position, it said in its quarterly filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Darren Robbins, a lawyer for the plaintiffs, said that auditor KPMG LLP, another defendant in the case, agreed to pay $37 million to settle the case, bringing the total recovery for plaintiffs to $627 million. Robbins said it would be the largest recovery in a case stemming from the credit crisis. In February, a federal judge in Los Angeles approved a $601.5 million settlement of a class action lawsuit against Countrywide Financial Corp over allegations it misled investors about its financial condition and lending practices. The settlements are subject to court approval. The case is In re: Wachovia Preferred Securities and Bond/Notes Litigation, U.S. District Court, Southern District of New York, No. 09-06351.

30 year fixed - 4.250% + .0 points for rate
20 year fixed - 3.750% + 0 points for rate
15 year fixed - 3.375% + 0 points for rate
10 year fixed - 3.250%  + 1.125% lender credit points for rate
5/1 ARM - 2.750% - 0 points for rate
7/1 ARM - 3.125%  + 0 points for rate

FHA/VA
30 year fixed - 4.125% + 0 points lender credit for rate
5/1 ARM - 2.750 +  0 points for rate
7/1 ARM - 3.250 + .3750 lender credit for rate

Jumbo - over 729,000
30 year fixed - 4.875 % with 0  points  for rate
15 year fixed - 4.375% + 0   points for rate
5/1 ARM - 3.250 % + 0 points for rate
7/1 ARM - 3.750% + 0 points for rate
10/1 ARM -  4.375% with + 0 points for rate